Conf = Liberty League State = NY
Nickname = Herons Coach = Anne PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.1014404 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 7-10, 80.8) 16- 2 302 H York MAC Commonwea (14- 7, 92.9) 11-10 306 H Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 4, 88.8) 16- 9 309 A Cortland SUNYAC (15- 5, 90.0) 14- 5 318 N Salisbury Coast to Coas (15- 3, 96.2) 10- 7 322 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 88.8) 12- 6 323 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 87.5) 15- 9 327 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (12- 8, 90.8) 16- 5 330 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 87.4) 13- 4 405 A St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.3) 12- 8 406 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 84.7) 15- 8 410 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (18- 1, 93.3) 3-16 413 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 2-15, 66.9) 25- 1 414 A Wesleyan NESCAC (16- 3, 97.7) 10-13 417 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 83.2) 21- 3 420 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 86.0) 21- 8 427 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 81.8) 24- 3 430 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.3) 19- 6 503 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 88.8) 13- 3 505 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (18- 1, 93.3) 10-11 512 H MIT NEWMAC (17- 5, 93.0) 12- 9 518 A Gettysburg Centennial (17- 3, 95.7)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Nazareth 16- 2 14 13 0.00 302 H York 11-10 1 1 -0.74 306 H Geneseo 16- 9 7 5 1.13 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 3 + 3.53 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15 322 H Union 12- 6 6 5 0.14 323 H RPI 15- 9 6 7 -1.00 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 3 + 3.07 330 H Skidmore 13- 4 9 7 0.00 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00 406 A Clarkson 15- 8 7 8 0.00 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 0 --- -7.26 413 A Bard 25- 1 24 26 0.00 414 A Wesleyan 10-13 -3 -4 1.17 417 H RIT 21- 3 18 11 0.00 420 A Rochester 21- 8 13 7 0.00 427 H Vassar 24- 3 21 12 0.00 430 H St Lawrence 19- 6 13 9 0.00 503 H Union 13- 3 10 5 1.14 505 A Ithaca 10-11 -1 0 -1.26 512 H MIT 12- 9 3 1 1.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 0 --- -7.26 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.15 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 3 + 3.53 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 3 + 3.07
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.10 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.83 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 19 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7445 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6631 RPI Rank................... 12 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 8 Selection sum ........... 30 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 10 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 85. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 9 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 24.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.0